27 May 2020
India Strategy
BSE Sensex: 31,605
Nifty-50: 9,315
Ownership analysis – FII stake in Nifty-500 hits 5-year low
FII/DII ownership ratio at new low; FIIs/DIIs raise stakes in Telecom
Performance of the benchmark Index has been negative so far in CY20, with returns
Nifty-500 Institution ownership
(%)
FII (%)
23.9
13.9
13.0
21.9
22.0
12.3
10.7
12.4
21.3
22.4
21.8
21.0
DII (%)
14.6 14.8
from the Nifty-50/Nifty Mid-cap 100 plunging 23%/25%. Further, Indian equity markets
have corrected significantly in 4QFY20 (down 29% in the quarter – the highest QoQ
decline since Jun’92), in tandem with global equity markets due to headwinds from the
Covid-19 outbreak.
Notably, in the Mar’20 quarter, DII inflows (at USD10.1b) and FIIs outflows (at
USD6.6b) were at record highs.
In this report, we take a deep dive into the ownership of various sectors/companies in
the Nifty-500 to see how it has changed during 4QFY20.
FII ownership in Nifty-500 at 5-year low
Sectors which saw an increase in
institutional stake
Sector holdings: Institutions record highest QoQ change in Telecom, NBFCs
FII QoQ chg (bp)
DII QoQ chg (bp)
FII holdings in the Nifty-500 hit a 5-year low, declining 140bp QoQ/80bp YoY to
21% in 4QFY20. FIIs have reduced ownership in 67% of Nifty-500 and 90% of
Nifty-50 companies QoQ.
On the other hand, DII holdings in the Nifty-500 were up 20bp QoQ/90bp YoY to
14.8% in 4QFY20. DIIs increased stake in 61% of Nifty-500 and 78% of Nifty-50
companies QoQ.
Further, promoters took advantage of the sharp correction post the COVID-19
pandemic and raised ownership. Thus, promoter holdings in the Nifty-500
companies increased 130bp QoQ/150bp YoY to 50.5% in 4QFY20.
FII ownership as a proportion of free float of the Nifty-500 declined 180bp to
42.3%. DII ownership as a proportion of free float increased 90bp QoQ/260bp
YoY to 29.8%.
Over the last five years, the incremental dominance of domestic capital savings
has gone up with consistent and rising SIP investments along with a shift toward
financial savings. Consequently, the FII-DII ownership ratio in the Nifty-500 is at
a new low and has declined to 1.4x from 2.2x in the last five years.
In the last one year, an increase in the FII-DII ratio was recorded in the Insurance
sector. Telecom, Real Estate, Private Banks, Cement, Healthcare, Automobiles,
Retail and Technology were the other key sectors to see a decline.
In the Nifty-500, FIIs have the highest ownership in Private Banks (44.6%),
followed by NBFCs (35.6%), Telecom (21.7%), Oil and Gas (21.3%) and Real
Estate (20.4%). DIIs have the highest ownership in Capital Goods (23.9%),
Metals (21.2%), Private Banks (20.3%), Utilities (19.5%) and PSU Banks (17.8%).
Sequentially, on a QoQ basis, FIIs have increased stake in Telecom (+190bp),
NBFCs (+110bp), Insurance (+50bp), Retail (+30bp), Utilities (+20bp) and Oil and
Gas (+10bp). In contrast, Metals (-200bp), Autos (-150bp), Capital Goods (-
140bp), Private Banks (-120bp), Healthcare (-110bp) and Cement (-110bp) have
seen reduction in FII stake.
On a QoQ basis, DIIs increased stake in Telecom (+220bp), Utilities (+190bp),
Metals (+110bp), NBFCs (+100bp) and Private Banks (80bp). Consumer was the
only sector where DIIs reduced stake by 110bp.
1
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Gautam Duggad – Research Analyst
(Gautam.Duggad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1522
Deven Mistry – Research Analyst
(Deven@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1575
May 2020
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.