21 Feb 2026 | 5 Mins Read

US GDP narrowly increases 1.4% in Q4, missing forecast

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GDP rose at an annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, below the estimated 2.5% gain. The Commerce Department attributed the slowdown to the government shutdown, estimating it subtracted 1 percentage point from growth. The full-year 2025 economic growth was 2.2%, down from 2.8% in 2024. Inflation remained high, with the core personal consumption expenditures price index at 3%.