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Regd office : Motilal Oswal Tower , Rahimtullah Sayani Road , Opposite Parel ST Depot , Prabhadevi, Mumbai -400025; Tel No.:022 3980 4263. Correspondence Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 -3080 1000. Registration Numbers: MCX 29500, NCDEX -NCDEX-CO-04-00114. FMC Unique membership code : MCX : MCX/TCM/CORP/0725, NCDEX: NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0033. Website: <a style="color:#0056b3" href="https://www.motilaloswal.com/"  >www.motilaloswal.com</a> Investment in Commodities is subject to market risk and there is no assurance or guarantee of the returns. Please read the Risks Disclosure Document and Do's & Don'ts prescribed by the commodity Exchanges carefully before investing. Details of Compliance Officer: Name: Ms Sharmilee Chitale, Email ID: <a href="mailto:sc@motilaloswal.com" style="color:#0056b3">sc@motilaloswal.com</a>, Contact No.:022-38281085.

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Customer having any query/feedback/ clarification may write to <a href="mailto:query@motilaloswal.com" style="color:#0056b3">query@motilaloswal.com</a>. In case of grievances for Commodity Broking write to <a href="mailto:commoditygrievances@motilaloswal.com" style="color:#0056b3">commoditygrievances@motilaloswal.com</a>

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Godrej Consumer Products Ltd                       : Building blocks in place to capitalize on recovery

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11 July 2021 Revenue declined 7% to INR9.5b in FY21 v/s FY20. This was largely due to muted sales from ATBS the companys largest product. VOs gross profit declined 6% to INR5.7b in FY21 v/s FY20. Although, gross margins improved 110bps on lower raw material costs. Despite GM expansion, COVID-led disruptions resulted in VO seeing higher operating costs and in turn posting a 330bps decline in EBITDAM. VOs PAT also de-grew, contracting ~19% to INR2.7b v/s FY20. The company generated INR2.2b cash from operations, implying decline of 47% v/s FY20. VO incurred capex of INR0.5b, generating FCF of INR1.7b in FY21 (60% higher v/s FY20). IBB recorded its highest sales ever in FY21 and the management expects further growth in FY22 on consistent demand from its end product Ibuprofen.

Vinati Organics Ltd                                : At the threshold of next-level growth

CONSUMER DURABLES: Commodity price inflation warrants price hikes

Industry loses gross subscribers

DIVI’S LABORATORIES: Record performance led by robust demand, strong execution

We interacted with Mr. Aman Hans, ex-Niti Aayog, Program Lead for PLI for ACC batteries, to get insight into the proposed production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme on advanced chemistry cell (ACC) batteries. The Cabinet recently approved an outlay of ~INR181b over five years with the objective of achieving an investment of ~INR450b to set up a 55GWh capacity. The PLI for ACC batteries is a technology-agnostic scheme. Bids would be evaluated on three parameters, viz a) the scale of investment in the plant (minimum 5Gw), b) the value addition proposed (a minimum of 25% over two years and 60% over five years), and c) the subsidy sought per Kwh (a maxi mum of INR2,000/Kwh plus additional incentives on beating the specs). There are additional bonuses beyond INR2,000/Kwh, and the maximum incentive is USD5060/Kwh. This program is solely focused at the cell level and does not incentivize battery packaging.

PLI for ACC batteries to drive down cell cost

15 June 2021 Automobiles As per the message from CEO Thierry Bollor, the Reimagine strategy would transform the business and its distinct brands. It would create a knowledge-sharing collaborative ecosystem with the very best partners in the global industry for a massive leap in clean energy, software, and digitalization. Both the Jaguar and Land Rover brands would undergo transformation by electrification six new all-electric Land Rover models would be introduced in the next five years and Jaguar would be completely reimagined as a purely electric brand from 2025. The Reimagine and Refocus projects would together deliver revenue of over GBP30b and double-digit EBIT margins by FY26. JLR is seeing greater collaboration and synergies within the Tata Group in areas of clean energy, connected services, data, and software development. It aims to create next-generation-based electrical vehicle architecture EVA continuum developed along with Tata Consultancy Services.

Reimagine to drive JLR transformation

16 June 2021 Revenue grew 39% QoQ in 4QFY21, led by 38% RevPAR growth, aided by a 16.9pp improvement in occupancy. EBITDA grew 42% QoQ due to lower flow-through, as the onset of a second COVID wave was sudden, which impacted demand. The company was unable to reduce expenses immediately. We have lowered our FY22E EBITDA estimate by 43% and have maintained our FY23E EBITDA estimate. We have a rating on the stock with a TP of INR52 per share. Revenue fell 46% YoY to INR951m (est. ARR declined by 45% YoY (to INR2,498) and occupancy fell 170bp (to 59.3%). RevPAR fell 46% YoY to INR1,481. RevPAR grew 38% QoQ on the back of a 17pp improvement in occupancy rate, marginally offset by a 1% decline in ARR. EBITDA fell 55% YoY to INR285m (est. On a QoQ basis, revenue/EBITDA grew 39%/42%.

Higher occupancy drives QoQ growth

12 July 2021 few years, HAVL has focused on expanding its distribution reach in semi- urban and rural markets under the Rural initiative. In FY20, the company had 1,700 rural distributors covering 18,000 outlets, which was Since the rural channel was more resilient during the first COVID wave, HAVL disproportionately gained from pent up demand after the lifting of the first lockdown. The management plans to scale its rural reach to over 3,000 distributors and over 40,000 outlets by FY22-end. With the Neemarana AC plant fully ramped up, HAVL has decided to Despite pent up demand aiding secondary sales post 1QFY21, HAVL continued with its cost rationalization measures. Ad spends fell to 1.3% of sales in FY21 (3.4% in FY20 and 3.8% in FY18-19). Travelling costs halved in FY21 (0.3% of sales v/s 0.8% in FY20). Employee count was flat YoY, with employee costs at 8.5% of sales (v/s 9.

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