Mutual Fund

What is GMP in IPO?

In the world of Indian IPOs, there is a secret market that starts buzzing long before the stock officially hits the NSE or BSE. Imagine you are waiting in a long line for a new iPhone launch. While you are in line, someone approaches you and offers to pay ₹10,000 extra just to take your spot or buy the phone from you the moment you step out of the store. That extra money is exactly what GMP (Grey Market Premium) is.

It is an unofficial, unregulated market where traders bet on how much a stock will be worth on its listing day. If the company is strong and everyone wants its shares, the extra price (GMP) goes up. If the company looks weak, the GMP might even be negative. While it is not an official SEBI-regulated figure, for retail investors in 2026, the GMP is often the first weather report that tells them whether an IPO will be a Bumper Listing or a Flop Show.

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What is Grey Market Premium (GMP)?

The Grey Market is an informal platform where IPO shares and applications are traded before they are officially listed.

  • GMP: The additional amount investors are willing to pay over the IPO issue price.
  • Calculation: If an IPO is priced at ₹500 and its GMP is ₹150, it means people are unofficially buying it at ₹650.

Why does it happen?

It happens because of Demand and Supply. If an IPO is oversubscribed 100 times, millions of people won't get shares. Those who are desperate to own the stock are willing to pay a premium to others in the grey market to secure it early.

Latest GMP Concepts: Kostak & Subject to Sauda

In the 2026 grey market, you will often hear two other terms along with GMP:

Term

What does it mean?

When is it paid?

GMP

Profit per share.

Only if shares are allotted.

Kostak Rate

Profit for the whole application.

Paid even if you get 0 shares.

Subject to Sauda

Profit for the whole application.

Only if you get the allotment.

How to Calculate Expected Listing Gain (2026 Example)

Let’s look at a hypothetical IPO for Bharat Tech Ltd in February 2026:

  • IPO Price Band: ₹240 – ₹250
  • Lot Size: 60 Shares
  • Current GMP (Unofficial): ₹80

Calculations:

  1. Estimated Listing Price: ₹250 (Upper Band) + ₹80 (GMP) = ₹330
  2. Estimated Profit per Lot: ₹80 × 60 Shares = ₹4,800
  3. Percentage Gain: (₹80 / ₹250) × 100 = 32%

Pro Tip: In 2026, investors often look for a GMP of at least 20-25% before deciding to apply for listing gains.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Is GMP official or regulated by SEBI?

No. SEBI does not recognize the grey market. It is an informal market based purely on trust between brokers and traders.

Does a high GMP guarantee a profit?

No. GMP can change overnight. If the global market crashes or the company releases bad news just before listing, a high GMP can vanish instantly.

Is trading in the Grey Market illegal?

It is unofficial, not strictly illegal for individuals, but it is not backed by any law. If a grey market broker runs away with your money, you cannot complain to SEBI or the Police easily.

Where can I find the latest GMP?

Since it's unofficial, you have to check popular financial websites like Chittorgarh, IPOWatch, or NiftyTrader which track these broker rumors.

Why is the GMP for SME IPOs usually so high?

SME IPOs have very few shares available. Because the supply is tiny, even a little bit of demand can push the GMP to 100% or 200%.

Can GMP be negative?

Yes. If the GMP is -₹20 for a ₹100 share, it means the market expects the stock to list at ₹80 (a discount listing).

Does the GMP stay the same every day?

No, it fluctuates every hour based on how many people are applying for the IPO (Subscription Data) and overall market mood.

What is the relation between Subscription and GMP?

Usually, they go hand-in-hand. If an IPO is subscribed 50x on Day 2, you will often see the GMP jump up on Day 3.

Why do big investors track GMP?

Even High Net-worth Individuals (HNIs) use GMP to decide how much money they should borrow to apply for an IPO.

Should I apply for an IPO only based on GMP?

Never. GMP is a sentiment indicator, not a fundamental one. Always check the company's profits, debt, and the why behind the IPO before investing.